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Risk - Understanding Investment Uncertainty
 
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The Plain Bagel Episode X In investments, you can't have return without taking on some risk. Today, let's look into better understanding the types of risks we'll face with our holdings, and how we can manage them. Sources: https://www.osc.gov.on.ca/documents/en/Investors/inv_research_20171127_missing-out-report.pdf Intro/Outro Music: https://www.bensound.com/royalty-free-music Episode Music: http://freemusicarchive.org/music/Podington_Bear/
Views: 14503 The Plain Bagel
Investment Decision: Analysis of Risk and Uncertainty
 
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Subject : Business Economics Paper :Principals of business finance and accounting
Views: 712 Vidya-mitra
Investment Decision : Analysis Of Risk And Uncertainty
 
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Subject :Business Economics Course :Post Graduate Keyword : SWAYAMPRABHA
Lesson 6 video 1: Risk, Uncertainty and Sensitivity Analysis
 
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In this and next videos I will explain how to incorporate risk and uncertainty in the economic evaluation of projects for the purpose of investment. I will explain how you can apply the sensitivity analysis techniques to evaluate the projects in this case. There are several quantitative methods for incorporating risk and uncertainty. I will explain two of these methods: 1) Sensitivity analysis or probabilistic sensitivity analysis 2)Expected value or expected net present value
Views: 9637 F. Tayari
Utility and Risk Preferences Part 1 - Utility Function
 
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Video for computing utility numerically https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0K-u9dpRiUQ More videos at http://facpub.stjohns.edu/~moyr/videoonyoutube.htm
Views: 182894 Ronald Moy
Risk and Uncertainty - Maximin - ACCA Performance Management (PM)
 
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Risk and Uncertainty - Maximin - ACCA Performance Management (PM) *** Complete list of free ACCA lectures is available on OpenTuition.com https://opentuition.com/acca/pm/ *** Free lectures for the ACCA Performance Management (PM) Exam To benefit from this lecture, visit opentuition.com/acca to download the notes used in the lecture and access ALL free resources: ACCA lectures, tests and Ask the ACCA Tutor Forums Please go to opentuition to post questions to ACCA Tutor, we do not provide support on youtube.
Views: 5014 OpenTuition
Risk and Uncertainty - Decision Trees Part 1 - ACCA Performance Management (PM)
 
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Risk and Uncertainty - Decision Trees Part 1 - ACCA Performance Management (PM) *** Complete list of free ACCA lectures is available on OpenTuition.com https://opentuition.com/acca/pm/ *** Free lectures for the ACCA Performance Management (PM) Exam To benefit from this lecture, visit opentuition.com/acca to download the notes used in the lecture and access ALL free resources: ACCA lectures, tests and Ask the ACCA Tutor Forums Please go to opentuition to post questions to ACCA Tutor, we do not provide support on youtube.
Views: 4817 OpenTuition
Risk Uncertainty and Individual Investments
 
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MBA:8180 Managerial Finance Risk Uncertainty and Individual Investments Video
Views: 1 Thomas Rietz
Difference Between Risk & Uncertainty ? Urdu / Hindi
 
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This Video Give The Basic Concept of What is Risk & Uncertainty ? Urdu / Hindi ZPZ Education Channel Link: www.youtube.com/channel/UCwFzeQDf9cGm_ZeTXV_t5SA
Views: 8459 ZPZ Education
Risk and uncertainty (part 1) - ACCA (AFM) lectures
 
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Risk and uncertainty (part 1) - ACCA (AFM) lectures Free ACCA lectures for the Advanced Financial Management (AFM) Exam Please go to OpenTuition to download the AFM notes used in this lecture, view all remaining Advanced Financial Management (AFM) lectures, and post questions on the Ask the ACCA AFM Tutor Forums - We do NOT provide support on the youtube comments section. *** Complete list of free ACCA lectures is available on https://opentuition.com/acca/afm/ ***
Views: 4813 OpenTuition
Risk Aversion and Expected Utility Basics
 
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An overview of Risk aversion, visualizing gambles, insurance, and Arrow-Pratt measures of risk aversion. A thousand apologies for the terrible audio quality. Download Handout: https://sites.google.com/a/burkeyacademy.com/homeroom/my-forms/Risk%20Aversion%20Basics.pdf Link to my Uncertainty Playlist: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Hr0K6K16PQs&list=PLlnEW8MeJ4z4K4YTTuwT41koMnkx9AxNW My Website: http://www.burkeyacademy.com/ Support me on Patreon! https://www.patreon.com/burkeyacademy Or, a one-time donation on PayPal is appreciated! http://paypal.me/BurkeyAcademy Talk to me on my SubReddit: https://www.reddit.com/r/BurkeyAcademy/
Views: 28672 BurkeyAcademy
14. Quantifying Uncertainty and Risk
 
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Financial Theory (ECON 251) Until now, the models we've used in this course have focused on the case where everyone can perfectly forecast future economic conditions. Clearly, to understand financial markets, we have to incorporate uncertainty into these models. The first half of this lecture continues reviewing the key statistical concepts that we'll need to be able to think seriously about uncertainty, including expectation, variance, and covariance. We apply these concepts to show how diversification can reduce risk exposure. Next we show how expectations can be iterated through time to rapidly compute conditional expectations: if you think the Yankees have a 60% chance of winning any game against the Dodgers, what are the odds the Yankees will win a seven game series once they are up 2 games to 1? Finally we allow the interest rate, the most important variable in the economy according to Irving Fisher, to be uncertain. We ask whether interest rate uncertainty tends to make a dollar in the distant future more valuable or less valuable. 00:00 - Chapter 1. Expectation, Variance, and Covariance 19:06 - Chapter 2. Diversification and Risk Exposure 33:54 - Chapter 3. Conditional Expectation 53:39 - Chapter 4. Uncertainty in Interest Rates Complete course materials are available at the Open Yale Courses website: http://open.yale.edu/courses This course was recorded in Fall 2009.
Views: 38810 YaleCourses
What is the difference between risk & uncertainty? By Brian Barnier
 
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Brian Barnier is focused on growing companies, investments and countries, bringing practical insight to investors, boards and management to help them bridge from strategy to execution. He accelerates improvement in business results through a "risk lens" that incorporates both growth and turnaround lessons learned across industries, professional disciplines and countries. Brian is the author of The Operational Risk Handbook for Financial Companies: A Guide to the New World of Performance-Oriented. #DESCRIPTION Brian Barnier defines the difference between the concepts of risk and uncertainty in their relation to financial operations. He talks about how with risk you can make some predictions based on data but with uncertainty you are dealing with a game of chance and that companies run into problems when they don’t understand the difference. Subscribe for more SarderTV: http://bit.ly/1osk5yg Follow our Official Twitter: http://bit.ly/1tIwTzK Check out exclusive SarderTV content: Web - http://bit.ly/1xpv37D Facebook - http://on.fb.me/1EbljQi #ABOUT SARDERTV SarderTV is an independent, educational media company, focusing on the subjects that fascinate, inspire and teach executives. Because the relationship between success and learning is parallel, SarderTV provides exclusive interviews with the authors, leaders, and taste makers currently affecting industry. Led by Russell Sarder and a team of dynamic and creative programming and content creators, experienced leadership and seasoned advisors, SarderTV launched in 2012. SarderTV is an exciting, forward thinking media company focused on the promotion of learning.
Views: 1471 Russell Sarder
Understanding Investment Risks
 
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Investing gives you the opportunity to grow your money, however it comes with a certain amount of risk. Successful investing is about finding the right balance between the level of risk you are comfortable with and your expectations of return. So before starting to invest, it is best to be familiar with the different types of risks that may affect your investment. Watch this video to know more about the different types of investment risks. To know more about investing, you may also get in touch with our Investment Counselors through: Telephone Numbers: 816-9095, 975-6446, 211-1404 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.bpiassetmanagement.com
ACCA F9 Investment Appraisal Under Uncertainty - Sensitivity Analysis (example 1)
 
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ACCA F9 Investment Appraisal Under Uncertainty - Sensitivity Analysis Free lectures for the ACCA F9 Financial Management To benefit from this lecture, visit opentuition.com to download the free lectures notes used in the lecture and access all our free resources including all F9 lectures, practice tests and Ask the Tutor Forums. http://opentuition.com/acca/f9/ Please go to opentuition to post questions to ACCA F9 Tutor, we do not provide support on youtube. *** Complete list of free ACCA F9 lectures is available on http://opentuition.com/acca/f9/ ***
Views: 14142 OpenTuition
Risk is the effect of uncertainty on objectives
 
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According to ISO 31000, risk is the effect of uncertainty on objectives. But what does that mean?
Views: 162 Lextree
Managing Risk and Uncertainty: The Future of Insurance
 
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Human progress is defined by the desire to take risk -- whether that's getting married, buying a home, having kids, getting on a plane, taking a new job, even moving to earthquake country (where this talk originally took place, in Los Angeles, as part of the a16z Summit 2018). All of these decisions require evaluation under conditions of uncertainty, which is where insurance -- really, distributed risk -- comes in. So in this talk, a16z general partner Angela Strange describes how pooling risk changes as we reinvent a legacy business like insurance through technology. What's the impact at an individual, industry, and economy level? And how will new entrants finally disrupt the ultimate game of life? *** The views expressed here are those of the individual AH Capital Management, L.L.C. (“a16z”) personnel quoted and are not the views of a16z or its affiliates. Certain information contained in here has been obtained from third-party sources, including from portfolio companies of funds managed by a16z. While taken from sources believed to be reliable, a16z has not independently verified such information and makes no representations about the enduring accuracy of the information or its appropriateness for a given situation. This content is provided for informational purposes only, and should not be relied upon as legal, business, investment, or tax advice. You should consult your own advisers as to those matters. References to any securities or digital assets are for illustrative purposes only, and do not constitute an investment recommendation or offer to provide investment advisory services. Furthermore, this content is not directed at nor intended for use by any investors or prospective investors, and may not under any circumstances be relied upon when making a decision to invest in any fund managed by a16z. (An offering to invest in an a16z fund will be made only by the private placement memorandum, subscription agreement, and other relevant documentation of any such fund and should be read in their entirety.) Any investments or portfolio companies mentioned, referred to, or described are not representative of all investments in vehicles managed by a16z, and there can be no assurance that the investments will be profitable or that other investments made in the future will have similar characteristics or results. A list of investments made by funds managed by Andreessen Horowitz (excluding investments and certain publicly traded cryptocurrencies/ digital assets for which the issuer has not provided permission for a16z to disclose publicly) is available at https://a16z.com/investments/. Charts and graphs provided within are for informational purposes solely and should not be relied upon when making any investment decision. Past performance is not indicative of future results. The content speaks only as of the date indicated. Any projections, estimates, forecasts, targets, prospects, and/or opinions expressed in these materials are subject to change without notice and may differ or be contrary to opinions expressed by others. Please see https://a16z.com/disclosures for additional important information.
Views: 18675 a16z
ACCA F5 Risk and Uncertainty - Minimax regret, Expected values
 
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ACCA F5 Risk and Uncertainty - Minimax regret, Expected values Free lectures for the ACCA F5 Performance Management Exams
Views: 15847 OpenTuition
STOCK MARKET INVESTING - LOOK FOR HIGH UNCERTAINTY AND LOW RISK
 
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What do I do? Full-time independent stock market analyst and researcher: https://sven-carlin-research-platform.teachable.com/p/stock-market-research-platform Check the comparative stock list table on my Stock market research platform under curriculum preview! I am also a book author: Modern Value Investing book: https://amzn.to/2lvfH3t More about me and some written reports at the Sven Carlin blog: https://svencarlin.com Stock market for modern value investors Facebook Group: https://www.facebook.com/groups/modernvalueinvesting/ Investing is about risk and reward, but what when many don't understand the risk and can't separate if from plain uncertainty. It is impossible to know what will happen, thus it is uncertain. But it is possible to know what is the worse that can happen. Therefore, to be successful on the stock market, the number one investing rule is to separate risk and uncertainty. We discuss an example and whether the current stock market is uncertain, risky or something else.
Fundamental of Decision Theory: Decision making under uncertainty, certainty and risk
 
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Subject:Management Paper: Quntitative Techniques for Management Decisions
Views: 2592 Vidya-mitra
Decision Analysis 1: Maximax, Maximin, Minimax Regret
 
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For an example where payoffs are costs please see: https://youtu.be/ajkXzvVegBk Decision Making Without Probabilities Part 1. This brief video explains the components of the Payoff Table and the systematic approaches involved in making decisions under uncertainty: Maximax (Optimistic) Maximin (Pessimistic or Conservative) Minimax Regret Other videos: Other videos: Decision Analysis 1.1 (Costs): Maximax, Maximin, Minimax Regret https://youtu.be/ajkXzvVegBk Decision Analysis 2.1: Equally Likely (Laplace) and Realism (Hurwicz) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zlblUq9Dd14 Decision Analysis 2: EMV & EVPI - Expected Value & Perfect Information https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tbv9E9D2BRQ Decision Analysis 3: Decision Trees 1 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ydvnVw80I_8 Decision Analysis 4: EVSI - Expected Value of Sample Information https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FUY07dvaUuE Decision Analysis 5: Posterior Probability Calculations https://youtu.be/FpKiHpYnY_I
Views: 370256 Joshua Emmanuel
Investment Appraisal Under Uncertainty Sensitivity Analysis (example 1)
 
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Investment Appraisal Under Uncertainty Sensitivity Analysis (example 1) - ACCA Financial Management (FM) *** Complete list of free ACCA FM lectures is available on OpenTuition.com https://opentuition.com/acca/fm/ *** Free lectures for the ACCA Financial Management (FM) Exam To benefit from this lecture, visit opentuition.com/acca to download the notes used in the lecture and access ALL free resources: ACCA lectures, tests and Ask the ACCA Tutor Forums Please go to opentuition to post questions to ACCA Tutor, we do not provide support on youtube.
Views: 3199 OpenTuition
Economic uncertainty leads investors to look towards multi-asset investment
 
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Despite the recent bull market conditions, financial experts are still warning of an uncertain economic outlook, with investors being urged to diversify their portfolio and mitigate risk. Challenging economic conditions means that investors should look towards diversifying their capital instead of putting all of their eggs in one basket, and one solution to match these uncertain times is multi-asset investing. For more information, visit www.easier.com
Views: 34 Jon Southall
Fundamentals of Investment Risk and Uncertainty Analysis e-learning
 
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This e-learning course aims to develop skills in the translation of uncertainties in input data such as costs, volumes, prices into the domain of decision metrics such as NPV and IRR. It’s done with minimal reference to mathematical formulas and with maximum use of spreadsheet examples. For more information, click here: https://www.petroedgeasia.net/course/Fundamentals_of_Investment_Risk_and_Uncertainty_Analysis
Views: 16 petroEDGE Asia
ACCA F9 Investment Appraisal Under Uncertainty Expected Values (example 2)
 
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ACCA F9 Investment Appraisal Under Uncertainty Expected Values (example 2) Free lectures for the ACCA F9 Financial Management To benefit from this lecture, visit opentuition.com to download the free lectures notes used in the lecture and access all our free resources including all F9 lectures, practice tests and Ask the Tutor Forums. http://opentuition.com/acca/f9/ Please go to opentuition to post questions to ACCA F9 Tutor, we do not provide support on youtube. *** Complete list of free ACCA F9 lectures is available on http://opentuition.com/acca/f9/ ***
Views: 6869 OpenTuition
How to deal with uncertainty as investors?
 
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www.abndigital.com Risk causes uncertainty but it is part and parcel of the investment environment & assumed by all investors. Our awareness of risk changes depending on our most recent market experiences. How should we deal with uncertainty as investors? Tonight we will be delving into the issue of investment risk, clarifying what it means & how investors should deal with it. ABN's Samantha Loring with Yin and Yan 2 strategists- Cobie Legrange, Strategist at ClucasGray Investment Managers and Roland Rousseau, Equity Strategist at ABSA Capital.Gentlemen get graphics
Views: 94 CNBCAfrica
Project Investment in Nepal Under Risk and Uncertainty
 
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Dr. Harry Clark explains the economists perspective in investing in large water resource projects under risk and uncertainty. The following topics are covered in the video: Analysis of projects under ignorance of facts affecting returns Analysis of real options Qualitative implications such as attention on scale and character of project itself and policies to promote flexibility at low cost General information on Infrastructure investment under risk and uncertainty Problems faced by Nepal and which methodology of investment should be used Advantages of heuristics over real option approach Relevance of new methodology and approaches in developing countries despite lack of infrastructure Solutions for planning big project while minimizing risk This video was a production of AITM.
Views: 1343 AITM Nepal
Risk and Uncertainty - Perfect knowledge  - ACCA Performance Management (PM)
 
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Risk and Uncertainty - Perfect knowledge  - ACCA Performance Management (PM) *** Complete list of free ACCA lectures is available on OpenTuition.com https://opentuition.com/acca/pm/ *** Free lectures for the ACCA Performance Management (PM) Exam To benefit from this lecture, visit opentuition.com/acca to download the notes used in the lecture and access ALL free resources: ACCA lectures, tests and Ask the ACCA Tutor Forums Please go to opentuition to post questions to ACCA Tutor, we do not provide support on youtube.
Views: 3436 OpenTuition
Mohnish Pabrai: Low risk, High uncertainty Value Investing
 
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An interview with value investor Mohnish Pabrai. In this interview Mohnish discusses how he approaches investing and the philosophy to his approach. Mohnish also talks about value investing and what a individual investor should do to beat the market. 📚 Books by Mohnish Pabrai and his favourite books are located at the bottom of the description❗ Like if you enjoyed Subscribe for more:http://bit.ly/InvestorsArchive Follow us on twitter:http://bit.ly/TwitterIA Other great Value Investor videos:⬇ Joel Greenblatt: Value Investing for Small Investors:http://bit.ly/JGreenblattVid Seth Klarman on Value Investing, Investment Strategies and Advice for Success:http://bit.ly/SKVid Billionaire Prem Watsa: Value Investing Philosophy and Strategy: http://bit.ly/PWVid1 Video Segments: 0:00 Introduction 0:10 What did you learn from Warren Buffett? What did you do different? 1:16 Your approach to investing? 2:13 Technology outside area of competence 2:50 Define moats 3:50 What is your edge? 5:27 Low risk , High uncertainty 7:21 What did you learn from being an entrepreneur, that applies to investing? 10:33 Fee structure 12:05 You do not want institutional investors 13:01 Low cost 14:54 Not registered with FCC 15:15 Do not engage in short selling 15:34 Advice for individual investors 17:46 Going to the roach motel 18:55 Sceptical of investing in foreign markets 20:13 Don't get much from talking to CEO’s 21:22 What areas are you looking at right now? 22:45 In the first quarter of 2010 did you add any positions? 23:19 Delta financial 100% loss 24:19 Mistakes on your checklist? 27:44 What is on your checklist? Mohnish Pabrai Books 🇺🇸📈 (affiliate link) The Dhandho Investor:http://bit.ly/DhandhoInvestor Mosaic:http://bit.ly/MosaicInvesting Mohnish Pabrai’s Favourite Books🔥 Am I Being Too Subtle?:http://bit.ly/AIBTSZell The Beak of the Finch:http://bit.ly/BeakOfFinch The Essays of Warren Buffett:http://bit.ly/TheEssaysofWB Interview Date: 12th April, 2010 Event: Intelligent Investing Original Image Source:http://bit.ly/MPPIc Investors Archive has videos of all the Investing/Business/Economic/Finance masters. Learn from their wisdom for free in one place. For more check out the channel. Remember to subscribe, share, comment and like! No advertising.
Views: 25267 Investors Archive
CIMA P2 Risk and Uncertainty - Expected Values
 
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CIMA P2 Risk and Uncertainty - Expected Values Free lectures for the CIMA P2 Advanced Management Accounting Exams
Views: 4007 OpenTuition
ACCA F5 Risk and Uncertainty - Maximin
 
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ACCA F5 Risk and Uncertainty - MaximinFree lectures for the ACCA F5 Performance Management Exams
Views: 14533 OpenTuition
Using Decision Trees for Risk Analysis
 
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This video provides an explanation and example of how to create a decision tree for risk analysis. I created this video with the YouTube Video Editor (https://www.youtube.com/editor)
Views: 44528 Risk Precis
CIMA P2 Investment appraisal under uncertainty - Standard Deviation
 
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Free lectures for the CIMA P2 Advanced Management Accounting Exams
Views: 1596 OpenTuition
Addressing risk and uncertainty in long-term PPP contracts
 
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Alexander Galetovic (University of the Andes, Chile) presents at the ITF Private Investment in Infrastructure Conference held in Paris, France, on 22 June 2018.
Views: 89 IntTransportForum
NPV Under Uncertainty
 
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How to calculate the NPV parameters for a normal distribution given a set of random cashflows
Views: 2797 Isaac Faber
(3) RISK AND UNCERTAINTY
 
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The difference between risk and uncertainty and how to quantify them.
Views: 6345 Jaime Sabal
Decision Theory Under Uncertainity Practically Solved Example IN HINDI By JOLLY COACHING
 
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This video is about DECISION THEORY of OPERATION RESEARCH which includes certain Methods of decision theory like : minimax, maximin , maximax , minimax regret , laplace and hurwicz. All this methods are explained in detail with the help of solved numerical. This video will help you to understand this methods and ultimately you are able to solve any question of decision theory. I hope this video will be a helpful thing for you to understand the basic concept of decision theory and its methods. Thanks. JOLLY Coaching. DECISION MAKING UNDER RISK AND UNCERTAINTY Decision Making Process Decision-making is the prerogative of management and the nature of the decisions made will vary according to the status of the manager. At board level, fundamental decisions regarding the objectives of the organization, and the development of a corporate plan to fulfill those objectives will be made. Functional and line management will be involved in operational decisions designed to ensure the successful implementation of the planning decisions. At shop floor level, foremen and line supervisors will be involved in determining the best approach to performing more specific tasks. The importance of decision-making _ the function of management must therefore be emphasised, and at the same time a set of criteria and procedures for decision-making must be specified. A formalised decision-making process is essential for efficient management of the organisation. Nature of Decisions Decision-making is concerned with the selection of the preferred course of action from a range of possibilities. The classical concept of decision-making assumes that the decision-maker: Has complete knowledge of all the possible alternative courses of action. Has complete knowledge of the consequences of taking every alternative. Can attach definite payoffs or utilities to each possible outcome. Can order the payoffs of each course of action in a unique sequence from highest to lowest payoff. With these assumptions a decision-maker can be regarded as an optimiser when he selects the alternative course of action with the highest payoff. Four Elements Common to Decision Problems: 1) Actions [Acts/Strategies]: The set of two or more alternatives the decision-maker has chosen to consider. The decision-maker's problem is to choose one action from this set. 2) States of nature: The set of two or more mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive chance events upon which the outcome of the decision-maker's chosen action depends. 3) Outcomes: The set of consequences resulting from all possible action/state of nature combinations. 4) Objective variable: The quantity used to measure and express the outcomes of a decision problem. We can identify these four specific elements of the decision problem in our example. First, a choice must be made between two possible courses of action-rent the out¬door stadium or rent the indoor stadium. Second, it is uncertain which event will occur-rain or no rain. We refer to these events as states of nature. Note that the states of nature considered in any problem must be mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive. Third, depending on which action is chosen and which state of nature occurs on the evening of the concert, the decision-maker will receive either a financial reward or a penalty for the chosen action. The consequences of the decision problem are referred to as outcomes; these may be either positive or negative. For example, if the action chosen by the promoter is Rent the outdoor stadium and the state of nature that occurs is Rain, the outcome that results is (-Rs. 2 million). The combination Rent the outdoor stadium/No rain will yield a profit of Rs. 17 million. The reward (or penalty) corresponding to each action/state of nature combination is called the outcome or payoff. Fourth, since the outcome is expressed in terms of net profit, it is objective variable here. Decision Theory, Statistical Decision Making, State of Nature, Statistics, Operations Research, MBA, MCA, BE, CA, CS, CWA, CMA, CPA, CFA, BBA, BCom, MCom, BTech, MTech, CAIIB, FIII, Graduation, Post Graduation, BSc, MSc, BA, MA, Diploma, Production, Finance, Management, Commerce, Engineering , Grade-11, Grade- 12. How to solve decision Theory Practically. Decision Theory numerical question. Decision Theory in operation research. Decision Theory in OP. SOLVING DECISION THEORY. DECISION TREE ANALYSIS. OPERATION RESEARCH. DECISION THEORY. decision theory in hindi. decision theory statistics. decision theory problems. decision theory under uncertainty. decision theory kauser wise
Views: 204143 JOLLY Coaching
Reduce Uncertainty & Manage Risk in Your Investment Portfolio
 
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Discover how business intelligence can help you reduce uncertainty and more actively manage risk in your investment portfolio.
Views: 230 SunGard Fs
A level business - risk and uncertainty
 
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A level business - risk and uncertainty
Views: 283 Ca Rose
MAF334: Risk and uncertainty - Perfect information
 
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This example explains what "perfect information" (in the context of Risk and Uncertainty) is, as well as how to calculate the value of perfect information.
CIMA P2 Risk and Uncertainty - Perfect knowledge
 
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CIMA P2 Risk and Uncertainty - Perfect knowledge Free lectures for the CIMA P2 Advanced Management Accounting Exams
Views: 1686 OpenTuition
CIMA P2 Risk and Uncertainty – Bayes Theorem
 
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CIMA P2 Risk and Uncertainty – Bayes Theorem Free lectures for the CIMA P2 Advanced Management Accounting Exams
Views: 1492 OpenTuition
Risk and Uncertainty: All Models Are Wrong But Some Are Useful
 
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The video begins at 1:18. Rick Donnelly, Parsons Brinckerhoff Friday, May 11, 2012 Models are used for many different purposes. Some seek to impart understanding of the system under study, while others seeks to understand dynamics. Most of the models considered in this course are also used for forecasting likely future levels of demand and its impact upon the built and natural environment. Unlike models of purely physical systems these models attempt to capture the interactions between people and institutions. Social systems are considerably more complex and chaotic. They are shaped by disruptive technologies, changing markets, economic cycles, and cultural influences that a difficult to predict, much less their subtle (and sometimes not so subtle) interaction effects. Uncertainty creeps into forecasting as a result, creating risk that a policy or investment may have unintended consequences, under-perform, or be short-lived. Transportation and land use modelers have typically only weakly accommodated such realities in their forecasts. Policy-makers and investors are increasingly demanding a more explicit accounting of risk and uncertainty in forecasting. This discussion will focus on how this will affect the practice of modeling in the future.
Views: 209 TREC at PSU
Investment Appraisal Under Uncertainty Expected Values (example 2)
 
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Investment Appraisal Under Uncertainty Expected Values (example 2) - ACCA Financial Management (FM) *** Complete list of free ACCA FM lectures is available on OpenTuition.com https://opentuition.com/acca/fm/ *** Free lectures for the ACCA Financial Management (FM) Exam To benefit from this lecture, visit opentuition.com/acca to download the notes used in the lecture and access ALL free resources: ACCA lectures, tests and Ask the ACCA Tutor Forums Please go to opentuition to post questions to ACCA Tutor, we do not provide support on youtube.
Views: 2059 OpenTuition
Managing uncertainty -- growth strategy, risk management and innovation. Innovation Strategy Speaker
 
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http://www.globalchange.com When world changes -- how long does it take to develop new business growth strategy? Scenario planning and innovation vital to business success, contingencies, risk management, disruption of business, disaster planning, terrorist attacks. Global trends. September 11 and impact on aviation industry / British Airways business models. Rapid response to changes, currency crisis, political crisis. Multiple plans, dynamic leadership, flat leadership structures. Banks and insurance industry planning. Innovative thinking. Keeping business options open. Innovation in Google, experiments. Oil industry risk, fixed infrastructure investment. Strategy, leadership, management, risk, change, trends, scenarios, planning, business, leaders, managers, Patrick, Dixon. Impact on manufacturing, product development, design and innovation. Factory production, distribution, wholesale, retail, logistics and supply chain management. Aviation, airlines, transport and travel, social media, government regulation and global economy risk. Downturn, recession, currency risk and exposure, business disruption, real estate prices, commodity prices. Health strategy, competitor analysis and customer behavior, consumer trends, marketing, management and motivation. Phone companies, IT security risks, hacking. Oil and energy prices.
WEBINAR: Understanding the Financial Impact of Wind Plant Uncertainty
 
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How risk translates to dollars... One of the biggest risks in wind development is the uncertainty of the wind resource. In this webinar by AWS Truepower, we will demystify how this resource uncertainty impacts energy production estimation, investment and financing. Presented by AWS Truepower CEO Bruce Bailey, and Director of Investor Services, Josh Kunkel, the following topics will be discussed: The steps Involved in predicting wind plant output Sources of losses and uncertainty Probabilities of energy exceedence and how to interpret them The impact of energy uncertainty on capital structure and debt capacity Implications of energy values on future cash flows
Views: 3157 AWS Truepower
The End Of Uncertainty & How "Risk" Can Be Managed With Expectancy - Show #098
 
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http://optionalpha.com/show98 - The markets are evolving faster and faster as the introduction and use of computer-driven or data-driven trading systems start to hit exponential growth rates. So, the question becomes, is this the end of systematic risk and market uncertainty? To put it bluntly, no - in fact, never will we reach a point at which there isn't some sort of systematic risk that we have to price into our options trading. And these future expectancy models are where the opportunity will be. I believe that markets will eventually become flatter and more volatile which means that the traders and investors who can harness these sideways markets will ultimately outperform everyone else. Those who can manage risk, not eliminate it, through the use of data-driven software tools and technology will be the ones left standing and in today's show I want to dive deeper into these higher level concepts you need to recognize. ================== Listen to our #1 rated investing podcast on iTunes: http://optionalpha.com/podcast ================== Download your free copy of the "The Ultimate Options Strategy Guide" including the top 18 strategies we use each month to generate consistent income: http://optionalpha.com/ebook ================== Grab your free "7-Step Entry Checklist" PDF download today. Our step-by-step guide of the top things you need to check before making your next option trade: http://optionalpha.com/7steps ================== Have more questions? We've put together more than 114+ Questions and detailed Answers taken from our community over the last 8 years into 1 huge "Answer Vault". Download your copy here: http://optionalpha.com/answers ================== Just getting started or new to options trading? You'll love our free membership with hours of video training and courses. Grab your spot here: http://optionalpha.com/free-membership ================== Register for one of our 5-star reviewed webinars where we take you through actionable trading strategies and real-time examples: http://optionalpha.com/webinars ================== - Kirk & The Option Alpha Team
Views: 821 Option Alpha
Mohnish Pabrai's Top 10 Rules For Success
 
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He's an Indian-American businessman, investor, and philanthropist. He sold his company TransTech, Inc in 2000 to Kurt Salmon Associates for US$20 million. Today he is the managing partner of the Pabrai Investment Funds. He's Mohnish Pabrai and here are his Top 10 Rules for Success. * Join my BELIEVE newsletter: http://www.evancarmichael.com/newsletter/ Sources: https://youtu.be/oaL2v1nVokw https://youtu.be/4LPCGRc1kww https://youtu.be/E_nWM4vjgqE 1. Minimize risk He worked with Tellabs between 1986–91. 2. Define your market In 1991 he started his IT consulting and systems integration company, TransTech, Inc. 3. Stay within your circle of competence He started with about $30,000 from his own 401K account and $70,000 from credit card debt. 4. Don't sell what you wouldn't buy He has high regards for Warren Buffett and admits that his investment style is copied from Buffett and others. 5. Wait for the right pitch He has written a book: The Dhandho Investor: The Low - Risk Value Method to High Returns. 6. Put yourself in their shoes His approach to life is covered extensively in Guy Spier's book, The Education of a Value Investor. 7. Focus on marketing Another book by Pabrai is Mosaic: Perspectives on Investing. 8. Create a competitive advantage He has won the 1999 KPMG Illinois High Tech Entrepreneur Award given by KPMG. 9. Have flexibility He's a member of the Young Presidents' Organization. 10. Pay attention to feedback He started the Dakshana Foundation with the goal of recycling most of their wealth back to society. Cesar V: Evan do you think you can do something on Monish Pabrai? Thanks a lot. I love what you do!! WHAT IS BTA? * Find out here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BsY8bmTUVP8 ENGAGE * Subscribe to my channel: http://www.youtube.com/subscription_center?add_user=Modelingthemasters * Leave a comment, thumbs up the video (please!) * Help me caption this video so others can enjoy it too: https://www.youtube.com/timedtext_video?v=jw54ImT9YEw * Suppport me: http://www.evancarmichael.com/support/ CONNECT * Twitter: https://twitter.com/evancarmichael * Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/EvanCarmichaelcom * Google+: https://plus.google.com/108469771690394737405/posts * Website: http://www.evancarmichael.com EVAN * About: http://www.evancarmichael.com/about/ * Guides: http://www.evancarmichael.com/zhuge/ * Coaching: http://www.evancarmichael.com/movement/ * Speaking: http://www.evancarmichael.com/speaking/ * Gear: http://evancarmichael.com/gear WEEKDAY SCHEDULE * #Entspresso - Weekdays at 7am EST : https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLiZj-Ik9MmM0-kQSSs3Ua5wExlz1HwRRs * Lunch & Earn - Weekdays at 12pm EST: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLiZj-Ik9MmM1j5wXSEqRxhu_MK0g4TA4M * Top 10 Rules for Success - Weekdays at 8pm EST: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLiZj-Ik9MmM0VWRGYCfuUCdyhKfU733WX WEEKEND SCHEDULE * #Entvironment - Saturdays at 7am EST: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLiZj-Ik9MmM3ZvpIdZoneTe1KYCVcmfbF * #EvansBook - Saturdays at 8pm EST: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLiZj-Ik9MmM1tNSh0CjOsqIg1fw7bAPt4 * #BelieveLife - Sundays at 7am EST: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLiZj-Ik9MmM207_RQCOPAwZdKYXQ4cqjV * Life with Evan - Sundays at 8pm EST: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLiZj-Ik9MmM19tzfHH_VJOnghbfdRPZjS
Views: 164912 Evan Carmichael